Page 34 - CMA Journal (Mar-Apr 2026)
P. 34

n  Sri Lanka's export base has developed a more balanced   3)  US-Pakistan  Tariff  Barriers:  In  2024,  when  the  US
                      approach.  Textiles  are  still  a  major  portion  of  its   introduced  its  reciprocal  tariffs  policy,  Pakistan  was
                      economy,  like  its  other  South  Asian  peers,  but  the   charged with a tariff rate of 29%. Initially, Pakistan tried
                      country has developed a more niche base for branded   to correct the balance of trade by increasing its imports
                      apparel. Its export-to-GDP ratio is one of the highest in   from  the  US.  Later,  the  rate  was  re-negotiated  and
                      the region.                                        reduced to 19% by the US. This exchange highlighted
                                                                         how dependent Pakistan's economy is on preferential
                  While some countries succeed through specialization and
                                                                         treatment and diplomatic relations.
                  others through diversi cation, Pakistan has yet to achieve
                  either effectively. Its vulnerability to shocks is deep rooted in   4)  Red  Sea  and  Suez  Canal  Disruptions:  The  political
                  its trade structure.                                   tensions  in  the  Red  Sea  area  in  2023  led  to  many
                                                                         challenges for global shipping and maritime channels.
                  Trade Vulnerability Cycle
                                                                         Reports from UNCTAD state that the disruptions in the
                                                                         Red Sea and the Suez Canal resulted in a reduction of
                                                                         transit  by  more  than  40%  during  peak  times.  These
                                                                         disruptions  impacted  transport  costs  as  well  as
                                                                         insurance  charges  for  freight  globally.  Over  90%  of
                                                                         Pakistan's  trade  is  seaborne  so  this  immediately
                                                                         impacted  the  costs,  disproportionately  affecting
                                                                         Pakistani  exporters  especially  ones  in  the  textiles
                                                                         industry.


                                                                     Adapting to Disruption

                                                                     Over the years, the government of Pakistan has proposed
                                                                     various short-term measures as well as long-term policies.
                                                                     These policies have had varying degrees of effectiveness.
                  Case Studies: Impact of Global Shocks
                                                                     The  COVID-19  period  led  to  various  export  facilitation
                                                                     packages, including subsidized energy tariffs, concessional
                  1)  COVID-19  and  Russia-Ukraine  War  Disruptions:
                                                                      nancing, and tax rebates.
                      Geopolitical  disruptions  like  the  COVID-19  pandemic
                      and  Russia-Ukraine  escalations  almost  immediately   The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) expanded various  nancing
                      impacted the global supply chain, delaying imports and   schemes:
                      exacerbating  the  costs  for  raw  materials.  These
                                                                     n   Temporary Economic Refinance Facility (TERF)
                      disruptions triggered a sharp increase in global energy
                      and  raw  material  prices.  At  the  same  time,  Pakistan   n   Export Finance Scheme (EFS)
                      faced  a  foreign  exchange  crisis,  which  restricted  the
                                                                     n   Export Import (EXIM) Bank
                      import  of  essential  inputs  such  as  cotton,  dyes,  and
                      machinery.  These  directly  affected  Pakistan's  largest   These initiatives helped  rms maintain operations and invest
                      export  sector,  and  many  textile  units  were  forced  to   in capacity despite rising costs.
                      operate  below  capacity,  some  textile  mills  were
                      operating below  50%  capacity  after  failing  to  secure   Initiatives like URAAN Pakistan (2024–29) were also introduced,
                                                                     which aimed to:
                      Letters of Credit.
                                                                     n   Promote export diversification
                  2)  Demand Shocks in Export Markets: Pakistan's export   n   Encourage value addition
                      portfolio has traditionally been very limited, but so has
                      its  range  of  destination  markets.  The  exports  have   n   Expand IT and non-textile sectors
                      mainly been concentrated in countries such as the US,
                                                                     In  the  wake  of  an  energy  crisis,  the  government  tried  to
                      UK, Germany, and Spain, showing a lack of geographic
                                                                     ensure  competitively  low  energy  prices  for  the  textile
                      diversi cation in its already inadequate export portfolio.
                                                                     industry.  However,   scal  constraints  and  IMF  conditions
                      This lack of diversi ed consumer base causes instability
                                                                     made such measures unsustainable. This forced withdrawal
                      and  major   uctuations  in  exports,  highlighting  over-
                                                                     of many policies and created uncertainty for exporters.
                      dependence on cyclical demand rather than secure and
                      well-established markets.
                    32  ICMA’s Chartered Management Accountant, Mar-Apr 2026
   29   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39