Page 28 - CMA Journal (May-June 2025)
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Focus Section



                                                                               margins. When these costs cannot be
                         Local vs Imported POL Products
                                                                               passed on to customers, net profits
                 25.00                                                         decline further.
                 20.00                        6.83             10.18        g) Strain on cash flows: Higher utility
                Million Tonnes  15.00  8.50  13.98             13.98           bills, fuel expenses, and generator
                                                                               maintenance lead to increased cash
                 10.00
                  5.00
                                                                               industries already operating on thin
                  0.00      10.08                                              outflows from operating activities. For
                            2021              2025             2030
                                                                               margins, this can result in liquidity
                                    Local POL  Imported POL
                                                                               stress.
              (Source: IEP Database [2006–2020] and the author’s calculations)
                                                                            h) Diversion of capital investment:
                  Future Primary Energy Supply for Gas (Million CFt)           Companies are compelled to invest in
                                                                               capital assets such as solar panels,
                        Supply           2020      2021     2025     2030
               Net Supply               982,089   942,156   767,392   593,793   batteries, or diesel generators. These
               Imported LNG             318,241   477,776   669,670   952,680   investments, while necessary, divert
               Primary supply           1,300,330    1,419,931    1,437,062    1,546,473    funds that could have been used for
                                                                               innovation or business expansion—
              (Source: EYB 2020 and author's calculations)
                                                                               resources that would otherwise be
                                  LNG Import 2020–2030                         available if affordable energy were
                                                                               accessible.
                                                                    1921
                 1,800
                 1,600                                                      Regional Comparisons and
               MMCFD  1,200  1005  1006  1058  1116  1177    1237           Lessons Learned
                 1,400
                 1,000
                                                                            Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Malaysia offer
                  800
                  600                                                       strong examples of how energy efficiency
                  400
                  200                                                       and targeted subsidies can drive industrial
                   0                                                        development. Bangladesh’s success in
                       2020   2021    2022   2023   2024    2025   2030
                                                                            expanding its natural gas grid—with
              (Source: EYB, 2020 and the author’s calculations based on the peak demand for natural gas)
                                                                            support from foreign donors and strict
                                                               regulatory oversight—demonstrates the impact of
             Role of Power Shortages in Increasing
             Production Costs                                  political will and effective planning. Similarly, Malaysia
                                                               has emerged as a regional leader in sustainable
             The power shortage in Pakistan is not just an     production by promoting solar energy adoption through
             inconvenience for companies—it is a structural barrier to
                                                               financial incentives and tax credits.
             growth. Additionally, transmission and distribution (T&D)
             losses and the accumulation of circular debt have further   Pakistan can draw valuable lessons from these
                                                               experiences by:
             aggravated the situation, leading to increased power tariffs.
                                                               •   Establishing an independent energy efficiency
             From an  industrial perspective, the impact of power
                                                                   agency
             shortages includes the following:
                                                               •   Promoting domestic production of energy-efficient
             a)  Increased reliance on alternative energy sources:
                                                                   appliances
                 Most industries depend on costly and environmentally
                 harmful diesel or furnace oil generators.     •   Collaborating with international financial institutions
                                                                   to secure low-interest green energy loans
             b)  Inefficiency and downtime:  Load-shedding leads
                 to production delays, reducing overall output and   The Case for Policy Reform and
                 efficiency.
                                                               Public-Private Partnerships
             c) Wage inefficiencies: Labor costs are incurred even
                                                               Sustainable energy solutions require collective action.
                 during non-productive hours caused by outages,   While businesses must streamline internal operations,
                 resulting in lower productivity per wage unit.
                                                               the government needs to implement reforms in pricing
             d)  Equipment wear and tear: Frequent disruptions   structures, subsidy frameworks, and infrastructure
                 and voltage fluctuations pose risks to sensitive   investments.
                 machinery and equipment.
                                                               Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) can play a critical role
             e)  Disruption of the supply chain:  Energy shortages   in advancing renewable energy projects, LNG terminals,
                 lead to inconsistent production schedules, causing   and grid modernization. Similarly, targeted subsidies or
                 shipment delays and declining customer satisfaction.
                                                               financing schemes for energy-efficient equipment can be
             f)  Higher energy costs: Increased costs of goods sold   transformative—especially for SMEs struggling with high
                 (COGS) due to energy expenses reduce gross profit   operating costs.
              26    ICMA’s Chartered Management Accountant, May-June 2025
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