Page 75 - CMA Journal (Nov-Dec 2024)
P. 75

TOP TECHNOLOGY TREND



             T    T          T










                                      By ICMA Research and Publica ons Department

                  Quantum-Inspired Computing (QIC)



              for High-Speed Financial Risk Modeling





              Risk modeling and decision-making require ultra-fast   risk, demonstrating their integration with QAE for
              computation, real-time data processing, and      efficient market and credit risk assessment.
              predictive accuracy in today's fast-paced financial
              landscape. Even with high-performance computing   • Portfolio Optimization
              (HPC) and AI-driven analytics, traditional computing   Optimizing investment portfolios involves balancing
              methods struggle to process the sheer complexity of
                                                               expected returns against associated risks, a complex
              financial risk assessment in real-time.
                                                               problem with numerous variables. Quantum-inspired
              Financial risk modeling is being transformed by   computing techniques, like quantum annealing, have
              Quantum-Inspired Computing (QIC) which is an     been applied to solve these optimization problems
              advanced approach that enables classical systems to   more efficiently. Research indicates that these
              replicate  certain  quantum   behaviors   while  methods can enhance the efficiency of solving
              overcoming the complexity and cost barriers of true   complex  optimization  problems  in  finance,
              quantum computing. QIC utilizes classical bits with   potentially leading to more robust portfolio
              quantum-inspired techniques such as quantum      strategies.
              annealing,   tensor   networks,   and    hybrid  •  Credit Risk Assessment
              quantum-classical   algorithms   to    enhance
              computational efficiency, enabling faster data   Accurately assessing credit risk is crucial for financial
              processing and complex system modeling.  These   institutions to prevent loan defaults and maintain
              methods significantly accelerate computations    financial  stability.  Quantum-inspired  machine
              compared to traditional systems, making them highly   learning models have been developed to predict
              effective in financial risk analysis.            credit rating downgrades, known as fallen-angels

              Practical Applications and Statistics            forecasting. A study demonstrated that such models
                                                               could achieve competitive performance against
              •  Monte Carlo Simulations                       traditional methods, offering better interpretability
                                                               and comparable training times.
              Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are essential in financial
              risk management, from estimating value-at-risk (VaR)
              to pricing over-the-counter derivatives, but they incur
              high computational costs due to extensive scenario
              generation. Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE)
              offers a quadratic speed-up by reducing the required
              simulations.  While  pre-computed    probability
              distributions can optimize QAE, their numerical
              generation may offset quantum advantages.  To
              address this, scenario generation is integrated within
              quantum computation, termed Quantum MC (QMC)
              simulations. Quantum circuits are developed for

              stochastic models in equity, interest rate, and credit

               BACK TO CONTENTS PAGE                        ICMA’s Chartered Management Accountant, Jan-Feb 2025  73
   70   71   72   73   74   75   76   77   78   79   80